Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.423066 0.487754 0.558040 0.639952 0.732658 0.834189 0.953669
2025-09-28 0.304780 0.391202 0.494335 0.625874 0.788516 0.982307 1.229924
2025-10-05 0.249942 0.347297 0.471729 0.641099 0.864091 1.145923 1.527087
2025-10-12 0.219049 0.324808 0.467743 0.672745 0.956462 1.332052 1.862991
2025-10-19 0.191431 0.300752 0.455973 0.689029 1.025835 1.489818 2.170912
2025-10-26 0.167202 0.277029 0.440161 0.695472 1.079072 1.626609 2.457639
2025-11-02 0.145745 0.253848 0.421330 0.693732 1.117916 1.743334 2.721774
2025-11-09 0.126362 0.230882 0.399450 0.683787 1.141690 1.837563 2.957275
2025-11-16 0.110291 0.210954 0.379623 0.674081 1.163466 1.928450 3.191881
2025-11-23 0.094596 0.189344 0.354208 0.651901 1.162099 1.981713 3.369834
2025-11-30 0.090320 0.187711 0.362518 0.687003 1.257194 2.193669 3.812161
2025-12-07 0.078840 0.170911 0.342005 0.669486 1.261050 2.256530 4.015568
2025-12-14 0.068576 0.155240 0.322100 0.651582 1.263583 2.318909 4.225505
2025-12-21 0.060052 0.141889 0.305045 0.637174 1.271031 2.390146 4.455603
2025-12-28 0.055859 0.137038 0.303888 0.652642 1.333992 2.561634 4.869213
2026-01-04 0.053738 0.136398 0.311026 0.684803 1.430471 2.798478 5.411927
2026-01-11 0.050306 0.132290 0.310486 0.701352 1.498019 2.986821 5.878408
2026-01-18 0.046352 0.126370 0.305394 0.707900 1.546185 3.141991 6.292942
2026-01-25 0.042166 0.119251 0.296825 0.706132 1.577205 3.266306 6.656630
2026-02-01 0.037835 0.111098 0.284978 0.696025 1.590121 3.356365 6.960364
2026-02-08 0.034000 0.103624 0.273794 0.686161 1.602465 3.445563 7.266865
2026-02-15 0.029827 0.094559 0.257750 0.663619 1.585787 3.475841 7.459837
2026-02-22 0.029357 0.095683 0.266556 0.699293 1.697813 3.771102 8.191451